GBPackers
-
43
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
034
MINVikings
-
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
3
17
7
14
41
Vikings
7
3
0
24
34
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
522
388
Total Plays
76
51
Yards / Play
6.9
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.30
Passing Yards
--
248
Comp/Att
32/44(73%)
19/25(76%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.9
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.27
Rushing Yards
158
138
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
4.9
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
31
25
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
55%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
6
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.65
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-3.64
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
63
20
Penalty EPA
-8.89
-3.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,535
Home Field
+5.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-1.3
Home QB Adjustment
-0.8
Away QB Adjustment
+0.5
Market Regression
-20.9
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+2.1
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
29
Yards / Game
3
27
Passing Yards / Game
24
9
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27
EPA
EPA / Play
1
27
EPA / Pass
1
25
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
12
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
7
28
Turnover EPA / Game
32
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
9
4th Down Efficiency
9
30
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
15
Yards / Game
2
7
Passing Yards / Game
5
19
Rushing Yards / Game
5
10
EPA
EPA / Play
13
17
EPA / Pass
9
11
EPA / Rush
8
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
29
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
27
23
Turnover EPA / Game
15
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
14
4th Down Efficiency
17
19
RZ Efficiency
6
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U