CARPanthers
-
21
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
028
ARICardinals
-
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
7
7
0
21
Cardinals
7
0
7
8
22
Spread
7
P
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
477
394
Total Plays
68
54
Yards / Play
7.0
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
403
295
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
10.9
10.9
EPA / Pass
+0.39
+0.42
Rushing Yards
74
99
Rush Attempts
27
25
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
15
Passing 1st downs
17
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
27%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.02
-5.48
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-19
-14
Sack EPA
-7.42
-2.90
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
74
61
Penalty EPA
-7.16
-7.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model67.7%
Spread Pick
Panthers+7.0
Expected Value
+8.1%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+90
Home nfelo
1,391
Away nfelo
1,380
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-5.8
Home QB Adjustment
+14.0
Away QB Adjustment
+19.7
Market Regression
+5.7
Final Difference
128.3
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.7
No recent game data available
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+14.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
16
Yards / Game
7
18
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
21
EPA
EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
2
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
18
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
4
23
RZ Efficiency
7
2
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
27
Yards / Game
19
27
Passing Yards / Game
9
25
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
28
31
EPA / Pass
26
32
EPA / Rush
9
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
18
Interceptions / Game
27
20
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
4
7
RZ Efficiency
14
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U