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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ cardinals week 2, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
0-1
22
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
27
ARICardinals
1-0
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
0
6
13
22
Cardinals
4
10
7
0
21

Spread

CAR logo
+7

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
352
293
Total Plays
79
48
Yards / Play
4.5
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.06
Passing Yards
303
211
Comp/Att
35/55(64%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
8.4
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.25
Rushing Yards
49
82
Rush Attempts
21
22
Yards / Rush
2.3
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
26
16
Passing 1st downs
19
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
33%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.92
-4.89
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-25
-9
Sack EPA
-8.95
-2.27
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
83
96
Penalty EPA
-9.08
-12.07

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.5

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model75.0%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals-7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+222
Home nfelo
1,523
Away nfelo
1,357
Home Field
+52.1
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+13.7
Net QB Adjustment
+3.9
Home QB Adjustment
+2.8
Away QB Adjustment
-1.1
Market Regression
+3.3
Final Difference
190.4
Model Spread
-7.5

Quarterbacks

B. Young headshot

B. Young

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.1
Value
Ptile
11/03
-2.9
28
11/10
-0.6
45
11/24
1.1
57
12/01
2.6
67
12/08
-1.0
41
12/15
-5.7
13
12/22
4.6
78
12/29
-5.4
14
01/05
11.1
98
09/07
-5.9
13
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+2.8
Value
Ptile
11/03
-4.5
20
11/10
12.0
99
11/24
-4.9
16
12/01
2.0
63
12/08
-0.3
47
12/15
2.2
64
12/22
1.4
59
12/28
-0.7
44
01/05
10.1
97
09/07
-0.7
45

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
27
29
Yards / Game
27
26
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
11
25

EPA

EPA / Play
25
28
EPA / Pass
26
27
EPA / Rush
20
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
16
17
Fumbles / Game
23
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
26
4th Down Efficiency
4
8
RZ Efficiency
26
27
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
23
16
Yards / Game
19
15
Passing Yards / Game
5
2
Rushing Yards / Game
29
19

EPA

EPA / Play
26
23
EPA / Pass
18
23
EPA / Rush
26
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
18
Interceptions / Game
11
8
Fumbles / Game
23
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
31
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
22
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
1
W
W
O
11/10
3
W
W
U
11/24
-3
L
W
O
12/01
-3
L
W
O
12/08
-6
L
W
U
12/15
-16
L
L
O
12/22
6
W
W
O
12/29
-34
L
L
O
01/05
6
W
W
O
09/07
-16
L
L
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
20
W
W
U
11/10
25
W
W
U
11/24
-10
L
L
U
12/01
-1
L
W
U
12/08
-12
L
L
O
12/15
13
W
W
O
12/22
-6
L
L
O
12/28
-4
L
W
U
01/05
23
W
W
O
09/07
7
W
W
U