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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ cardinals week 10, 2021

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
4-5
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
10
ARICardinals
8-1
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
17
6
8
3
34
Cardinals
0
0
3
7
10

Spread

CAR logo
+7

Total

OVER
42

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
343
169
Total Plays
71
53
Yards / Play
4.8
3.2
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.52
Passing Yards
--
104
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.68
Rushing Yards
166
65
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
24
11
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
13
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
47%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.93
-11.72
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-11.18
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
115
58
Penalty EPA
-7.00
-4.05

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model77.1%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals-7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+9.7%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+247
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,439
Home Field
+54.8
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.7
Home QB Adjustment
-83.6
Away QB Adjustment
-95.4
Market Regression
-24.6
Final Difference
210.8
Model Spread
-8.5

Quarterbacks

P. Walker headshot

P. Walker

Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-95.4
Value
Ptile
11/22
-4.0
19
D. McCoy headshot

D. McCoy

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-83.6
Value
Ptile
10/27
1.9
65
11/30
4.5
80
12/07
-10.0
3
12/14
-3.2
29
11/22
-3.4
25
12/03
-6.3
12
10/06
-1.7
41
12/06
-8.0
6
12/20
-2.8
25
11/07
2.4
71

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Panthers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
30
12
Passing Yards / Game
29
10
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21

EPA

EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
32
15
EPA / Rush
17
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
15
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
13
4th Down Efficiency
31
9
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Cardinals logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
20
Yards / Game
9
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
1
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18

EPA

EPA / Play
14
7
EPA / Pass
11
12
EPA / Rush
12
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
5
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
14
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/03
-26
L
L
U
09/12
5
W
W
U
09/19
19
W
W
U
09/23
15
W
W
U
10/03
-8
L
L
O
10/10
-3
L
L
U
10/17
-6
L
L
O
10/24
-22
L
L
U
10/31
6
W
W
U
11/07
-18
L
L
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/03
-11
L
L
U
09/12
25
W
W
U
09/19
1
W
L
O
09/26
12
W
W
U
10/03
17
W
W
O
10/10
7
W
W
U
10/17
23
W
W
O
10/24
26
W
W
U
10/28
-3
L
L
U
11/07
14
W
W
O