CARPanthers
4-5
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
010
ARICardinals
8-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
17
6
8
3
34
Cardinals
0
0
3
7
10
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
343
169
Total Plays
71
53
Yards / Play
4.8
3.2
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.52
Passing Yards
--
104
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.68
Rushing Yards
166
65
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
11
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
13
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
47%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.93
-11.72
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-11.18
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
115
58
Penalty EPA
-7.00
-4.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model77.1%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-7.0
Expected Value
+9.7%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+248
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,438
Home Field
+54.8
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.7
Home QB Adjustment
-83.6
Away QB Adjustment
-95.4
Market Regression
-24.2
Final Difference
211.3
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
P. Walker
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-95.4
Value
Ptile
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-83.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
30
12
Passing Yards / Game
29
10
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
32
15
EPA / Rush
17
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
15
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
13
4th Down Efficiency
31
9
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
20
Yards / Game
9
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
1
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
14
7
EPA / Pass
11
12
EPA / Rush
12
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
5
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
14
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Cardinals
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U