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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ commanders week 1, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
-
17
TBD
FedExField
80°F
0
20
WASCommanders
-
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
80°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
10
0
0
7
17
Commanders
7
0
3
10
20

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
236
396
Total Plays
51
66
Yards / Play
4.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.09
Passing Yards
124
--
Comp/Att
17/26(65%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.15
Rushing Yards
112
162
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
5.6
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
12
23
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
18%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.79
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-59
--
Sack EPA
-9.07
--
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
65
64
Penalty EPA
-4.65
-8.57

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Panthers logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
4
Rushing Yards / Game
29
21

EPA

EPA / Play
18
12
EPA / Pass
21
3
EPA / Rush
21
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
24
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
8
4th Down Efficiency
9
11
RZ Efficiency
29
3
Commanders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Commanders logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
25
11
Yards / Game
11
27
Passing Yards / Game
10
18
Rushing Yards / Game
20
25

EPA

EPA / Play
16
11
EPA / Pass
11
19
EPA / Rush
24
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
1
Interceptions / Game
25
12
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
27
4th Down Efficiency
21
8
RZ Efficiency
15
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/31
-7
L
L
P
11/07
26
W
W
P
11/14
-25
L
L
P
11/21
14
W
W
P
11/28
6
W
W
P
12/05
-13
L
L
P
12/12
2
W
W
P
12/18
17
W
W
P
12/26
-10
L
L
P
01/02
32
W
W
P
WAS logo

Commanders

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/14
-7
L
L
P
11/21
10
W
W
P
11/28
3
W
L
P
12/05
-16
L
L
P
12/12
25
W
W
P
12/19
-3
L
W
P
12/26
6
W
L
P
01/02
11
W
W
P
01/08
14
W
W
P
01/15
-1
L
W
P