CARPanthers
10-0
33
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
014
DALCowboys
3-7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
4
7
7
3
21
Cowboys
3
0
3
8
14
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
212
Total Plays
65
57
Yards / Play
4.5
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.34
Passing Yards
165
181
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
24/41(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.41
Rushing Yards
129
31
Rush Attempts
37
14
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-18.67
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-18
-20
Sack EPA
-1.79
-2.54
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
53
40
Penalty EPA
-5.30
-7.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model43.1%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+1.0
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+101
Home nfelo
1,549
Away nfelo
1,553
Home Field
+93.7
Base HFA
+61.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.4
Time Adj
+11.0
Net QB Adjustment
+10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+31.8
Away QB Adjustment
+21.4
Market Regression
-3.8
Final Difference
48.4
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.4
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+31.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
16
Yards / Game
11
16
Passing Yards / Game
17
14
Rushing Yards / Game
2
22
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
7
21
EPA / Rush
3
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
21
Interceptions / Game
8
30
Fumbles / Game
26
32
Turnover EPA / Game
22
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
17
4th Down Efficiency
9
17
RZ Efficiency
1
8
Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
6
Yards / Game
23
5
Passing Yards / Game
27
20
Rushing Yards / Game
8
4
EPA
EPA / Play
25
2
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
5
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
19
Interceptions / Game
32
1
Fumbles / Game
21
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
9
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Cowboys
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U