CARPanthers
5-6
10
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
4 mph
33
MIADolphins
4-7
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
3
0
0
10
Dolphins
1
14
6
6
27
Spread
0
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
198
315
Total Plays
54
72
Yards / Play
3.7
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.46
+0.03
Passing Yards
134
204
Comp/Att
10/31(32%)
27/31(87%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.59
+0.21
Rushing Yards
64
111
Rush Attempts
18
39
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
5
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
29%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.43
-4.32
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-45
-26
Sack EPA
-6.51
-6.36
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
61
--
Penalty EPA
-8.08
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-25
Home nfelo
1,435
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
+39.4
Base HFA
+39.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.3
Home QB Adjustment
+14.8
Away QB Adjustment
+42.1
Market Regression
+16.0
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+42.1
T. Tagovailoa
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+14.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
15
Yards / Game
30
16
Passing Yards / Game
29
18
Rushing Yards / Game
20
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
11
EPA / Pass
32
8
EPA / Rush
17
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
12
Interceptions / Game
32
14
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
19
4th Down Efficiency
31
23
RZ Efficiency
25
7
Dolphins Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
20
Yards / Game
25
2
Passing Yards / Game
27
1
Rushing Yards / Game
29
18
EPA
EPA / Play
22
7
EPA / Pass
19
12
EPA / Rush
29
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
5
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
16
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
8
4th Down Efficiency
15
18
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Dolphins
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U