CAR logo
CAR
3-5
21
45
PHI
6-2
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
52°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
0
0
14
21
Eagles
11
8
7
7
33

Spread

PHI logo
-7

Total

OVER
48.5

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
317
365
Total Plays
81
62
Yards / Play
3.9
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.01
Passing Yards
215
328
Comp/Att
25/40(63%)
20/38(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.16
Rushing Yards
102
37
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
3.2
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
20
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-22.97
--
Sacks
9
1
Sack Yards
-91
-4
Sack EPA
-18.41
-1.04
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
50
Penalty EPA
-3.61
-6.89

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
CAR logo
Panthers+7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+15.6%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-8
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,436
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-193.9
Home QB Adjustment
-148.4
Away QB Adjustment
+45.6
Market Regression
+12.3
Final Difference
88.5
Model Spread
-3.5

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Panthers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
15
28
Passing Yards / Game
20
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
15

EPA

EPA / Play
17
7
EPA / Pass
19
17
EPA / Rush
11
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
14
1
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
4
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Eagles logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
19
19
Rushing Yards / Game
8
11

EPA

EPA / Play
14
16
EPA / Pass
15
14
EPA / Rush
21
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
14
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
31
4
Turnover EPA / Game
1
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
24
29