CARPanthers
3-5
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
52°F
5 mph
45
PHIEagles
6-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
52°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
0
0
14
21
Eagles
11
8
7
7
33
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
365
Total Plays
81
62
Yards / Play
3.9
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.01
Passing Yards
215
328
Comp/Att
25/40(63%)
20/38(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.16
Rushing Yards
102
37
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
3.2
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
20
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-22.97
--
Sacks
9
1
Sack Yards
-91
-4
Sack EPA
-18.41
-1.04
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
50
Penalty EPA
-3.61
-6.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model62.6%
Spread Pick
Panthers+7.0
Expected Value
+15.6%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-6
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,433
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-193.9
Home QB Adjustment
-148.4
Away QB Adjustment
+45.6
Market Regression
+12.2
Final Difference
89.3
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+45.6
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-148.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
15
28
Passing Yards / Game
20
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
15
EPA
EPA / Play
17
7
EPA / Pass
19
17
EPA / Rush
11
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
14
1
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
4
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
19
19
Rushing Yards / Game
8
11
EPA
EPA / Play
14
16
EPA / Pass
15
14
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
14
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
31
4
Turnover EPA / Game
1
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
24
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
3-6-1
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U