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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ eagles week 14, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
3-9
16
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
16 mph
22
PHIEagles
10-2
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
16 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
7
6
0
16
Eagles
0
14
0
8
22

Spread

CAR logo
+14

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
302
294
Total Plays
69
57
Yards / Play
4.4
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.05
Passing Yards
184
83
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.09
Rushing Yards
118
211
Rush Attempts
34
32
Yards / Rush
3.5
6.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
44%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.19
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-25
Sack EPA
-2.17
-6.80
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
43
40
Penalty EPA
-5.29
-5.71

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0

Win Probability

Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+370
Home nfelo
1,660
Away nfelo
1,334
Home Field
+40.0
Base HFA
+40.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+4.0
Home QB Adjustment
+4.6
Away QB Adjustment
+0.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0

Quarterbacks

B. Young headshot

B. Young

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
Value
Ptile
12/24
3.9
75
12/31
-13.1
1
01/07
-5.1
19
09/08
-10.0
2
09/15
-6.4
11
10/27
-1.9
35
11/03
-2.9
28
11/10
-0.6
45
11/24
1.1
57
12/01
2.6
67
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+4.6
Value
Ptile
09/22
0.0
49
09/29
-5.5
14
10/13
4.7
79
10/20
-0.5
46
10/27
10.6
98
11/03
4.9
80
11/10
3.4
72
11/14
1.1
57
11/24
0.8
53
12/01
-0.5
46

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Panthers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
16
4

EPA

EPA / Play
24
1
EPA / Pass
28
1
EPA / Rush
9
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
22
6
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
21
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Eagles logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
5
32
Yards / Game
8
32
Passing Yards / Game
25
21
Rushing Yards / Game
2
32

EPA

EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
7
31
EPA / Rush
4
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
21
Interceptions / Game
3
25
Fumbles / Game
8
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
32
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
10
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/22
14
W
W
O
09/29
-10
L
L
O
10/06
-26
L
L
O
10/13
-18
L
L
O
10/20
-33
L
L
U
10/27
-14
L
L
O
11/03
1
W
W
O
11/10
3
W
W
U
11/24
-3
L
W
O
12/01
-3
L
W
O
PHI logo

Eagles

9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/22
3
W
W
U
09/29
-17
L
L
O
10/13
4
W
L
U
10/20
25
W
W
U
10/27
20
W
W
O
11/03
5
W
L
O
11/10
28
W
W
U
11/14
8
W
W
U
11/24
17
W
W
O
12/01
5
W
W
U