CARPanthers
3-9
16
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
16 mph
22
PHIEagles
10-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
7
6
0
16
Eagles
0
14
0
8
22
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
294
Total Plays
69
57
Yards / Play
4.4
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.05
Passing Yards
184
83
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.09
Rushing Yards
118
211
Rush Attempts
34
32
Yards / Rush
3.5
6.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
44%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.19
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-25
Sack EPA
-2.17
-6.80
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
43
40
Penalty EPA
-5.29
-5.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.5
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles-14.0
Expected Value
+3.9%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+373
Home nfelo
1,663
Away nfelo
1,334
Home Field
+40.2
Base HFA
+40.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+4.0
Home QB Adjustment
+4.5
Away QB Adjustment
+0.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
342.7
Model Spread
-14.5
Quarterbacks
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
16
4
EPA
EPA / Play
24
1
EPA / Pass
28
1
EPA / Rush
9
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
22
6
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
21
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
32
Yards / Game
8
32
Passing Yards / Game
25
21
Rushing Yards / Game
2
32
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
7
31
EPA / Rush
4
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
21
Interceptions / Game
3
25
Fumbles / Game
8
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
32
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
10
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U