CARPanthers
9-4
27
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
55°F
8 mph
10
NOSaints
3-10
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
55°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
10
7
3
27
Saints
7
0
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
277
Total Plays
65
57
Yards / Play
5.0
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.18
Passing Yards
165
183
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.44
Rushing Yards
161
94
Rush Attempts
43
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
47%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
40%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-4.62
-18.81
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-11
-10
Sack EPA
-5.64
-3.05
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
--
72
Penalty EPA
--
-0.41
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
21
15
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
18
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
11
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
27
31
RZ Efficiency
10
12
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
18
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
2
EPA / Pass
25
3
EPA / Rush
26
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
25
Interceptions / Game
30
4
Fumbles / Game
30
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
27
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
8-2
SU
6-2-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U