CARPanthers
2-0
24
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
09
HOUTexans
1-1
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
0
7
10
24
Texans
0
6
0
3
9
Spread
-8
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
193
Total Plays
70
49
Yards / Play
5.8
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.22
Passing Yards
290
151
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.35
-0.27
Rushing Yards
117
42
Rush Attempts
33
17
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
14
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
45%
11%
3rd Down Conversions
5
1
3rd Down Attempts
11
9
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-14
-17
Sack EPA
-3.61
-6.99
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
64
51
Penalty EPA
-7.27
-5.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market76.2%
Model72.4%
Spread Pick
Texans+8.0
Expected Value
+10.1%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-130
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,502
Home Field
+66.0
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-137.5
Home QB Adjustment
-141.2
Away QB Adjustment
-3.7
Market Regression
-2.3
Final Difference
-167.7
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.7
D. Mills
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-141.2
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
27
Yards / Game
30
31
Passing Yards / Game
29
26
Rushing Yards / Game
20
31
EPA
EPA / Play
32
26
EPA / Pass
32
26
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
9
Interceptions / Game
32
8
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
31
20
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Texans Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
20
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
22
1
Rushing Yards / Game
32
18
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
28
12
EPA / Rush
30
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
5
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
8
4th Down Efficiency
27
18
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U