NEPatriots
4-9
17
TBD
Soldier Field
36°F
12 mph
24
CHIBears
3-10
TBD
Soldier Field
36°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
10
0
7
17
Bears
3
7
7
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
339
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
4.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.07
Passing Yards
207
222
Comp/Att
25/46(54%)
22/26(85%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.62
Rushing Yards
38
102
Rush Attempts
12
39
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
36%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.97
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-18
-2
Sack EPA
-3.33
-1.45
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
60
35
Penalty EPA
-7.19
-2.06
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
18
Yards / Game
21
17
Passing Yards / Game
14
25
Rushing Yards / Game
26
19
EPA
EPA / Play
20
16
EPA / Pass
18
17
EPA / Rush
27
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
7
26
Turnover EPA / Game
21
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
29
RZ Efficiency
24
29
Bears Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
17
Yards / Game
24
19
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
21
20
EPA
EPA / Play
26
18
EPA / Pass
27
24
EPA / Rush
18
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
8
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
20
16
Turnover EPA / Game
13
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
28
4th Down Efficiency
20
31
RZ Efficiency
25
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U