NEPatriots
-
17
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
8 mph
23
CINBengals
-
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
10
0
7
17
Bengals
0
10
13
0
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
353
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
4.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.16
Passing Yards
224
196
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.01
Rushing Yards
68
157
Rush Attempts
21
33
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.32
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-17
-8
Sack EPA
-3.26
-4.32
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-2.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
13
Yards / Game
20
9
Passing Yards / Game
19
7
Rushing Yards / Game
17
11
EPA
EPA / Play
11
6
EPA / Pass
10
11
EPA / Rush
21
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
6
25
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
18
4th Down Efficiency
20
12
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
5
Yards / Game
23
23
Passing Yards / Game
22
30
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17
EPA
EPA / Play
28
7
EPA / Pass
24
8
EPA / Rush
20
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
31
7
Fumbles / Game
8
11
Turnover EPA / Game
12
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
11
4th Down Efficiency
27
8
RZ Efficiency
24
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U