nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. patriots @ bengals week 1, 2001

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NE logo
NEPatriots
-
17
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
8 mph
23
CINBengals
-
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
10
0
7
17
Bengals
0
10
13
0
23

Game Statistics

General
Patriots logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
292
353
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
4.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.16
Passing Yards
224
196
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.01
Rushing Yards
68
157
Rush Attempts
21
33
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Patriots logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Patriots logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.32
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-17
-8
Sack EPA
-3.26
-4.32
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-2.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NE logo
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Patriots logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
6
13
Yards / Game
20
9
Passing Yards / Game
19
7
Rushing Yards / Game
17
11

EPA

EPA / Play
11
6
EPA / Pass
10
11
EPA / Rush
21
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
6
25
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
18
4th Down Efficiency
20
12
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Bengals logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
31
5
Yards / Game
23
23
Passing Yards / Game
22
30
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17

EPA

EPA / Play
28
7
EPA / Pass
24
8
EPA / Rush
20
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
31
7
Fumbles / Game
8
11
Turnover EPA / Game
12
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
11
4th Down Efficiency
27
8
RZ Efficiency
24
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NE logo

Patriots

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/15
-17
L
L
P
10/22
-7
L
W
P
11/05
-3
L
L
P
11/12
-8
L
L
P
11/19
3
W
L
P
11/23
-25
L
L
P
12/04
6
W
W
P
12/10
-7
L
L
P
12/17
3
W
W
P
12/24
-3
L
W
P
CIN logo

Bengals

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/22
10
W
W
P
10/29
9
W
W
P
11/05
-20
L
L
P
11/12
-17
L
L
P
11/19
-3
L
W
P
11/26
-20
L
L
P
12/03
11
W
W
P
12/10
-32
L
L
P
12/17
3
W
W
P
12/24
-9
L
W
P