NEPatriots
2-1
38
TBD
Paycor Stadium
75°F
9 mph
13
CINBengals
3-0
TBD
Paycor Stadium
75°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
14
7
17
38
Bengals
6
0
7
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
424
279
Total Plays
67
56
Yards / Play
6.3
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.27
-0.19
Passing Yards
--
208
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.29
Rushing Yards
236
71
Rush Attempts
41
17
Yards / Rush
5.8
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.38
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
17
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
15
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
46%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-1.94
-9.82
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-37
Sack EPA
--
-12.71
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
61
74
Penalty EPA
-1.84
-2.73
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
15
Yards / Game
11
31
Passing Yards / Game
16
19
Rushing Yards / Game
14
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
6
29
EPA / Rush
11
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
25
27
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
22
4th Down Efficiency
1
18
RZ Efficiency
3
25
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
2
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
30
Rushing Yards / Game
25
5
EPA
EPA / Play
5
6
EPA / Pass
5
5
EPA / Rush
18
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
24
Interceptions / Game
7
4
Fumbles / Game
26
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
10
4th Down Efficiency
6
2
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U