NEPatriots
3-0
34
TBD
Paycor Stadium
72°F
8 mph
13
CINBengals
1-2
TBD
Paycor Stadium
72°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
10
7
7
10
34
Bengals
0
7
3
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
404
283
Total Plays
66
51
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
226
Comp/Att
25/32(78%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.52
-0.06
Rushing Yards
173
57
Rush Attempts
34
15
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
58%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
7
--
3rd Down Attempts
12
7
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.58
-6.73
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-1.98
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-6.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
24
Yards / Game
1
27
Passing Yards / Game
8
10
Rushing Yards / Game
11
21
EPA
EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
2
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
31
Interceptions / Game
3
7
Fumbles / Game
3
3
Turnover EPA / Game
32
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
27
4th Down Efficiency
4
17
RZ Efficiency
2
8
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
1
Yards / Game
9
5
Passing Yards / Game
17
21
Rushing Yards / Game
23
9
EPA
EPA / Play
9
12
EPA / Pass
7
3
EPA / Rush
15
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
24
Interceptions / Game
24
6
Fumbles / Game
12
17
Turnover EPA / Game
12
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
4
4th Down Efficiency
29
25
RZ Efficiency
22
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U