NEPatriots
0-4
28
TBD
Mile High Stadium
80°F
6 mph
19
DENBroncos
2-2
TBD
Mile High Stadium
80°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
14
7
7
0
28
Broncos
0
3
6
8
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
407
Total Plays
56
76
Yards / Play
5.6
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.02
Passing Yards
244
328
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
31/51(61%)
Yards / Pass
9.4
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.59
+0.03
Rushing Yards
54
79
Rush Attempts
27
22
Yards / Rush
2.0
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
26
Passing 1st downs
13
19
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
38%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.45
-6.72
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-11
-35
Sack EPA
-2.79
-9.64
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
--
50
Penalty EPA
--
-4.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
21
Yards / Game
21
20
Passing Yards / Game
14
23
Rushing Yards / Game
26
7
EPA
EPA / Play
20
15
EPA / Pass
18
15
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
23
Interceptions / Game
10
2
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
24
9
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
17
Yards / Game
2
19
Passing Yards / Game
2
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
20
EPA
EPA / Play
6
18
EPA / Pass
6
24
EPA / Rush
4
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
8
Interceptions / Game
4
29
Fumbles / Game
16
16
Turnover EPA / Game
19
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
28
4th Down Efficiency
12
31
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U