NEPatriots
3-2
20
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
5 mph
28
DENBroncos
4-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
0
3
14
20
Broncos
0
21
7
0
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
388
432
Total Plays
65
59
Yards / Play
6.0
7.3
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.32
Passing Yards
--
254
Comp/Att
24/46(52%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.6
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.50
Rushing Yards
89
178
Rush Attempts
19
34
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-1.33
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
55
82
Penalty EPA
-6.79
-12.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
6
Yards / Game
6
19
Passing Yards / Game
7
4
Rushing Yards / Game
23
2
EPA
EPA / Play
7
13
EPA / Pass
4
15
EPA / Rush
16
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
16
6
Fumbles / Game
7
4
Turnover EPA / Game
16
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
18
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
17
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
13
20
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7
EPA
EPA / Play
6
23
EPA / Pass
9
25
EPA / Rush
2
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
2
26
Fumbles / Game
15
29
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
22
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
6
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U