NE logo
NE
6-2
30
26
DEN
5-3
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
35°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
6
7
10
30
Broncos
7
10
1
0
18

Game Statistics

General
Patriots logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
419
277
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
6.9
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.04
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
20/35(57%)
16/35(46%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.58
-0.09
Rushing Yards
69
114
Rush Attempts
26
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Patriots logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Patriots logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.97
+0.01
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
14
4
Penalty Yards
85
--
Penalty EPA
-11.28
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NE logo
NEFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Patriots logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
11
12
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
6

EPA

EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
29
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
27
Interceptions / Game
5
32
Fumbles / Game
18
13
Turnover EPA / Game
26
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
18
RZ Efficiency
28
6
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Broncos logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
10
1
Yards / Game
7
7
Passing Yards / Game
31
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
3

EPA

EPA / Play
10
2
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
3
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
20
1
Fumbles / Game
2
22
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
8
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
7
7