NEPatriots
6-2
30
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
35°F
026
DENBroncos
5-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
35°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
6
7
10
30
Broncos
7
10
1
0
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
419
277
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
6.9
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.04
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
20/35(57%)
16/35(46%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.58
-0.09
Rushing Yards
69
114
Rush Attempts
26
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.97
+0.01
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
14
4
Penalty Yards
85
--
Penalty EPA
-11.28
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
12
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
6
EPA
EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
29
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
27
Interceptions / Game
5
32
Fumbles / Game
18
13
Turnover EPA / Game
26
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
18
RZ Efficiency
28
6
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
1
Yards / Game
7
7
Passing Yards / Game
31
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
3
EPA
EPA / Play
10
2
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
3
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
20
1
Fumbles / Game
2
22
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
8
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
7
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U