NEPatriots
3-0
19
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
59°F
15 mph
7
CLEBrowns
0-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
59°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
6
7
6
19
Browns
7
0
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
451
250
Total Plays
82
51
Yards / Play
5.5
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.29
Passing Yards
357
180
Comp/Att
29/43(67%)
13/28(46%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.23
-0.21
Rushing Yards
90
70
Rush Attempts
35
20
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
12
Passing 1st downs
17
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
47%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
9
1
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
33%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-5.79
-4.07
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-32
-21
Sack EPA
-6.40
-7.90
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
59
45
Penalty EPA
-3.51
-2.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
29
Yards / Game
18
31
Passing Yards / Game
4
2
Rushing Yards / Game
22
31
EPA
EPA / Play
22
31
EPA / Pass
20
29
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
2
Interceptions / Game
26
31
Fumbles / Game
13
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
31
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
27
26
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
5
Yards / Game
31
7
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
31
20
EPA
EPA / Play
24
8
EPA / Pass
27
13
EPA / Rush
17
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
3
Interceptions / Game
5
18
Fumbles / Game
17
7
Turnover EPA / Game
25
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
5
RZ Efficiency
1
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
0-3
SU
1-2
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U