NEPatriots
3-0
14
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph
21
LACChargers
3-0
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
7
0
0
14
Chargers
7
7
7
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
440
342
Total Plays
76
52
Yards / Play
5.8
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
36/53(68%)
10/18(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.23
Rushing Yards
87
238
Rush Attempts
23
34
Yards / Rush
3.8
7.0
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
14
Passing 1st downs
17
3
Rushing 1st downs
8
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-11.21
-4.24
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-0.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
21
Yards / Game
22
30
Passing Yards / Game
21
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
11
EPA
EPA / Play
10
24
EPA / Pass
18
23
EPA / Rush
16
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
9
15
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
26
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
14
4th Down Efficiency
20
28
RZ Efficiency
16
26
Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
15
Yards / Game
17
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31
EPA
EPA / Play
18
19
EPA / Pass
21
8
EPA / Rush
6
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
23
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
26
27
RZ Efficiency
4
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
10-0
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U