NEPatriots
13-4
24
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
53°F
6 mph
21
LACChargers
14-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
53°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
7
3
11
24
Chargers
0
14
0
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
329
352
Total Plays
75
68
Yards / Play
4.4
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.01
Passing Yards
276
204
Comp/Att
27/51(53%)
14/32(44%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.24
Rushing Yards
53
148
Rush Attempts
22
33
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.20
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
12
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
24%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
+0.19
-7.48
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-4
-26
Sack EPA
+0.60
-6.42
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
45
64
Penalty EPA
-1.49
-5.41
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
8
Yards / Game
11
8
Passing Yards / Game
16
29
Rushing Yards / Game
14
6
EPA
EPA / Play
4
16
EPA / Pass
6
6
EPA / Rush
11
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
22
Interceptions / Game
10
12
Fumbles / Game
25
13
Turnover EPA / Game
27
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
7
4th Down Efficiency
1
2
RZ Efficiency
3
29
Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
2
Yards / Game
4
10
Passing Yards / Game
18
30
Rushing Yards / Game
2
5
EPA
EPA / Play
1
6
EPA / Pass
2
5
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
24
Interceptions / Game
3
4
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
2
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
10-0
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U