NEPatriots
2-3
38
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
017
INDColts
2-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
21
3
7
38
Colts
3
3
11
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
385
486
Total Plays
51
73
Yards / Play
7.5
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.47
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
307
Comp/Att
17/21(81%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.8
EPA / Pass
+0.94
+0.06
Rushing Yards
123
179
Rush Attempts
30
34
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
28
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
67%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-9.69
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-30
Sack EPA
--
-10.09
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
35
53
Penalty EPA
-2.79
-4.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
31
Yards / Game
20
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
11
Rushing Yards / Game
17
25
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
10
28
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
22
Interceptions / Game
6
21
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
22
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
18
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
5
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
30
Rushing Yards / Game
7
17
EPA
EPA / Play
7
7
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
7
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
9
Interceptions / Game
27
7
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
1
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
11
4th Down Efficiency
4
8
RZ Efficiency
7
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U