NEPatriots
4-2
19
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
84°F
9 mph
13
MIADolphins
4-1
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
84°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Patriots
3
3
7
0
6
19
Dolphins
0
10
3
0
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
326
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
5.2
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.21
Passing Yards
273
229
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.39
-0.17
Rushing Yards
59
97
Rush Attempts
29
29
Yards / Rush
2.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.56
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-7.60
-8.61
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
-1
Sack EPA
-1.59
-1.28
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
34
40
Penalty EPA
-5.10
-5.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
2
Yards / Game
15
8
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
26
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
3
EPA / Pass
9
6
EPA / Rush
29
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
5
7
Fumbles / Game
18
8
Turnover EPA / Game
26
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
11
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
28
1
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
24
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
17
3
EPA
EPA / Play
21
2
EPA / Pass
22
3
EPA / Rush
20
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
25
Interceptions / Game
21
1
Fumbles / Game
28
22
Turnover EPA / Game
7
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
16
6
RZ Efficiency
15
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U