NEPatriots
12-1
28
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
52°F
7 mph
29
MIADolphins
2-11
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
52°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
7
7
7
28
Dolphins
7
3
7
12
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
231
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
4.7
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.01
Passing Yards
156
179
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.05
Rushing Yards
166
52
Rush Attempts
38
20
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
60%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-14.63
-4.92
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-15
-19
Sack EPA
-1.56
-3.90
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
53
67
Penalty EPA
-11.04
-8.18
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
9
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
5
7
EPA / Rush
10
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
20
10
Turnover EPA / Game
28
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
4
4th Down Efficiency
21
29
RZ Efficiency
7
17
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
29
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
5
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
28
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
32
3
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U