NEPatriots
7-6
9
TBD
Veterans Stadium
40°F
14 mph
24
PHIEagles
3-11
TBD
Veterans Stadium
40°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
6
3
0
9
Eagles
10
7
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
295
Total Plays
81
65
Yards / Play
4.3
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.27
Passing Yards
288
--
Comp/Att
23/48(48%)
10/28(36%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.53
-0.11
Rushing Yards
62
114
Rush Attempts
27
37
Yards / Rush
2.3
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
11
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
40%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
20
18
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
7
3
Interceptions
4
2
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-31.94
-10.92
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-43
--
Sack EPA
-10.76
--
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
--
85
Penalty EPA
--
-6.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
21
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
22
28
EPA
EPA / Play
22
11
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
24
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
6
Interceptions / Game
26
2
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
19
4th Down Efficiency
25
28
RZ Efficiency
27
6
Eagles Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
5
Yards / Game
30
7
Passing Yards / Game
31
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
20
EPA
EPA / Play
31
8
EPA / Pass
31
13
EPA / Rush
19
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
3
Interceptions / Game
16
18
Fumbles / Game
29
7
Turnover EPA / Game
3
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
15
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
31
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U