NEPatriots
16-2
24
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
59°F
12 mph
21
PHIEagles
15-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
59°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
7
7
10
24
Eagles
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
331
369
Total Plays
63
72
Yards / Play
5.3
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.15
Passing Yards
219
324
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
30/51(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.24
+0.16
Rushing Yards
112
45
Rush Attempts
28
17
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
14
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.07
-10.38
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-17
-33
Sack EPA
-6.83
-7.38
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
47
35
Penalty EPA
-9.79
-5.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
1
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
12
20
Rushing Yards / Game
6
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
12
EPA / Pass
5
11
EPA / Rush
10
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
18
Interceptions / Game
6
16
Fumbles / Game
20
29
Turnover EPA / Game
28
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
10
4th Down Efficiency
21
19
RZ Efficiency
7
10
Eagles Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
2
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
2
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
5
EPA
EPA / Play
7
9
EPA / Pass
7
8
EPA / Rush
13
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
28
Interceptions / Game
6
3
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
32
14
RZ Efficiency
4
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U