NEPatriots
2-2
31
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
028
ATLFalcons
3-1
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
14
0
14
3
31
Falcons
0
13
0
15
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
483
402
Total Plays
58
64
Yards / Play
8.3
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.18
Passing Yards
342
286
Comp/Att
22/27(81%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
12.7
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.72
+0.13
Rushing Yards
141
116
Rush Attempts
30
26
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
22
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
30%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.94
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-1.73
-3.51
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
83
84
Penalty EPA
-7.50
-4.95
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
7
17
Rushing Yards / Game
23
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
4
7
EPA / Rush
16
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
15
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
7
2
Turnover EPA / Game
16
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
1
4th Down Efficiency
3
26
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Falcons Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
17
Yards / Game
11
24
Passing Yards / Game
28
20
Rushing Yards / Game
1
7
EPA
EPA / Play
14
23
EPA / Pass
20
25
EPA / Rush
5
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
26
Interceptions / Game
7
26
Fumbles / Game
16
29
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
3
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U