NEPatriots
3-4
24
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
010
ATLFalcons
3-3
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
17
7
0
24
Falcons
7
0
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
371
244
Total Plays
68
57
Yards / Play
5.5
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.36
Passing Yards
236
104
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
10/29(34%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.68
Rushing Yards
135
140
Rush Attempts
34
19
Yards / Rush
4.0
7.4
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
11
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
47%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.29
-4.70
Sacks
3
9
Sack Yards
-14
-47
Sack EPA
-4.26
-11.97
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
60
55
Penalty EPA
-5.51
-4.05
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
24
Yards / Game
20
30
Passing Yards / Game
19
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
26
EPA / Pass
10
30
EPA / Rush
21
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
2
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
10
27
Turnover EPA / Game
22
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
31
4th Down Efficiency
20
1
RZ Efficiency
15
29
Falcons Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
5
Yards / Game
14
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
30
Rushing Yards / Game
15
17
EPA
EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
20
8
EPA / Rush
14
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
9
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
20
11
Turnover EPA / Game
11
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
11
4th Down Efficiency
25
8
RZ Efficiency
26
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U