NEPatriots
6-5
17
TBD
Giants Stadium
53°F
10 mph
16
NYJJets
7-3
TBD
Giants Stadium
53°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
0
14
3
17
Jets
10
3
3
0
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
288
Total Plays
53
63
Yards / Play
5.0
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.04
Passing Yards
191
157
Comp/Att
20/28(71%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.07
Rushing Yards
74
131
Rush Attempts
22
28
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.33
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-15
Sack EPA
-3.33
-2.71
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
28
--
Penalty EPA
-1.83
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
14
Yards / Game
20
24
Passing Yards / Game
19
17
Rushing Yards / Game
17
29
EPA
EPA / Play
11
16
EPA / Pass
10
13
EPA / Rush
21
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
30
Interceptions / Game
6
12
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
22
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
19
RZ Efficiency
15
10
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
31
30
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
15
7
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
8
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
5
7
Fumbles / Game
2
11
Turnover EPA / Game
27
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
17
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U