NEPatriots
12-2
23
TBD
Giants Stadium
30°F
10 mph
7
NYJJets
10-4
TBD
Giants Stadium
30°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
13
3
7
23
Jets
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
372
279
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
5.2
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.22
Passing Yards
258
233
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.19
Rushing Yards
114
46
Rush Attempts
38
18
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.03
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-19
Sack EPA
-2.00
-6.05
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
25
20
Penalty EPA
-1.62
-1.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
3
Yards / Game
9
8
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
7
EPA
EPA / Play
4
11
EPA / Pass
5
17
EPA / Rush
10
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
23
Interceptions / Game
6
9
Fumbles / Game
20
18
Turnover EPA / Game
28
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
7
11
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
12
9
Passing Yards / Game
29
16
Rushing Yards / Game
3
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
9
EPA / Pass
13
8
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
28
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
2
2
Turnover EPA / Game
32
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
22
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
13
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U