nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. patriots @ lions week 13, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NE logo
NEPatriots
6-5
20
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0
12
DETLions
3-8
DET logo
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
4
7
0
3
14
Lions
3
3
3
3
12

Game Statistics

General
Patriots logo
Lions logo
Total Yards
349
292
Total Plays
68
59
Yards / Play
5.1
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
22/44(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.42
Rushing Yards
139
82
Rush Attempts
38
15
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
Patriots logo
Lions logo
1st Downs
23
14
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
60%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Patriots logo
Lions logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.83
-17.74
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
55
60
Penalty EPA
-6.96
-4.01

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NE logo
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Patriots Offense vs Lions Defense
Patriots logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
21
24
Rushing Yards / Game
28
19

EPA

EPA / Play
10
25
EPA / Pass
18
29
EPA / Rush
16
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
9
26
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
16
28
Lions Offense vs Patriots Defense
Lions logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
28
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
29
31

EPA

EPA / Play
28
19
EPA / Pass
29
8
EPA / Rush
24
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
23
Interceptions / Game
31
12
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
10
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NE logo

Patriots

5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
37
W
W
P
09/22
3
W
L
P
09/29
-7
L
L
P
10/06
-13
L
L
P
10/13
-18
L
L
P
10/27
-8
L
L
P
11/03
31
W
W
P
11/10
3
W
L
P
11/17
-7
L
L
P
11/24
7
W
L
P
DET logo

Lions

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
-24
L
L
P
09/22
-6
L
W
P
09/29
5
W
W
P
10/13
-7
L
L
P
10/20
3
W
W
P
10/27
-7
L
W
P
11/03
2
W
L
P
11/10
-26
L
L
P
11/17
-17
L
L
P
11/24
-3
L
W
P