NEPatriots
6-5
20
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
012
DETLions
3-8
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
4
7
0
3
14
Lions
3
3
3
3
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
292
Total Plays
68
59
Yards / Play
5.1
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
22/44(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.42
Rushing Yards
139
82
Rush Attempts
38
15
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
14
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
60%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.83
-17.74
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
55
60
Penalty EPA
-6.96
-4.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
21
24
Rushing Yards / Game
28
19
EPA
EPA / Play
10
25
EPA / Pass
18
29
EPA / Rush
16
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
9
26
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
16
28
Lions Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
28
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
29
31
EPA
EPA / Play
28
19
EPA / Pass
29
8
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
23
Interceptions / Game
31
12
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
10
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U