NEPatriots
6-3
35
TBD
Lambeau Field
41°F
12 mph
0
GBPackers
4-5
TBD
Lambeau Field
41°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
14
7
7
35
Packers
0
0
0
0
0
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
357
120
Total Plays
73
48
Yards / Play
4.9
2.5
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.59
Passing Yards
235
77
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
9/27(33%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
2.9
EPA / Pass
+0.57
-0.84
Rushing Yards
122
43
Rush Attempts
40
17
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
5
Passing 1st downs
12
3
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
47%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.45
-4.53
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-9
-28
Sack EPA
-1.19
-7.85
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
38
--
Penalty EPA
-4.43
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
25
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
13
EPA
EPA / Play
4
12
EPA / Pass
6
8
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
28
Interceptions / Game
10
2
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
27
RZ Efficiency
3
19
Packers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
2
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
11
30
Rushing Yards / Game
23
5
EPA
EPA / Play
27
6
EPA / Pass
15
5
EPA / Rush
29
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
24
Interceptions / Game
20
4
Fumbles / Game
26
12
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
31
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U