NEPatriots
10-5
38
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
36°F
3 mph
6
CARPanthers
1-14
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
36°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
4
0
8
8
20
Panthers
0
3
3
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
298
322
Total Plays
66
65
Yards / Play
4.5
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.58
Passing Yards
196
129
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
15/36(42%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-1.02
Rushing Yards
102
193
Rush Attempts
36
26
Yards / Rush
2.8
7.4
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
40%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
6
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-9.99
-35.08
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-2
-15
Sack EPA
-1.24
-8.00
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
70
37
Penalty EPA
-3.62
-4.79
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
28
Yards / Game
20
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
18
Rushing Yards / Game
17
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
20
EPA / Pass
10
25
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
6
3
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
22
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
27
4th Down Efficiency
20
31
RZ Efficiency
15
21
Panthers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
5
Yards / Game
30
23
Passing Yards / Game
27
30
Rushing Yards / Game
29
17
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
30
8
EPA / Rush
30
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
9
Interceptions / Game
25
7
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
4
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
11
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
14
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
0-10
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U