NEPatriots
5-4
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
61°F
5 mph
27
OAKRaiders
5-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
61°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
3
1
7
14
Raiders
3
14
7
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
195
386
Total Plays
51
70
Yards / Play
3.8
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.03
Passing Yards
147
289
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
26/38(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.04
Rushing Yards
48
97
Rush Attempts
17
31
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
22
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.78
-8.96
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-25
-8
Sack EPA
-8.07
-1.77
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
34
115
Penalty EPA
-4.15
-10.77
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
8
Yards / Game
22
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
28
6
EPA
EPA / Play
10
17
EPA / Pass
18
14
EPA / Rush
16
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
15
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
5
20
Turnover EPA / Game
26
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
17
4th Down Efficiency
20
4
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Raiders Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
15
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
2
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
31
EPA
EPA / Play
2
19
EPA / Pass
3
8
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
8
12
Fumbles / Game
7
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
26
4th Down Efficiency
3
27
RZ Efficiency
10
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U