NEPatriots
8-5
49
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
44°F
15 mph
26
OAKRaiders
3-10
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
44°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
21
14
7
7
49
Raiders
7
7
6
6
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
487
334
Total Plays
71
63
Yards / Play
6.9
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.48
+0.10
Passing Yards
210
218
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.49
-0.06
Rushing Yards
277
116
Rush Attempts
39
27
Yards / Rush
7.1
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.26
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
19
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
62%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.92
-4.06
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-8
-24
Sack EPA
-2.68
-3.43
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
20
45
Penalty EPA
-5.80
-6.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
24
Yards / Game
5
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
5
31
EPA
EPA / Play
2
23
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
1
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
9
Interceptions / Game
4
11
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
28
4th Down Efficiency
2
28
RZ Efficiency
18
23
Raiders Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
29
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
12
Rushing Yards / Game
10
16
EPA
EPA / Play
28
20
EPA / Pass
29
27
EPA / Rush
31
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
29
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
27
4th Down Efficiency
23
2
RZ Efficiency
29
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U