NE logo
NE
-
NO
-
NO logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
NE logo
NEFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Patriots Offense vs Saints Defense
Patriots logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
10
30
Yards / Game
14
18
Passing Yards / Game
5
7
Rushing Yards / Game
25
18

EPA

EPA / Play
9
27
EPA / Pass
3
29
EPA / Rush
28
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
9
24
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
27
4th Down Efficiency
4
1
RZ Efficiency
8
30
Saints Offense vs Patriots Defense
Saints logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
28
10
Yards / Game
21
16
Passing Yards / Game
19
22
Rushing Yards / Game
10
2

EPA

EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
28
28
EPA / Rush
12
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
7
25
Turnover EPA / Game
22
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
4
RZ Efficiency
21
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NE logo

Patriots

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/24
-19
L
L
O
12/01
-1
L
W
O
12/15
-13
L
L
O
12/22
-3
L
W
U
12/28
-33
L
L
O
01/05
7
W
W
O
09/07
-7
L
L
U
09/14
6
W
W
O
09/21
-7
L
L
U
09/28
29
W
W
O
NO logo

Saints

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-7
L
L
U
12/08
3
W
L
U
12/15
-1
L
W
U
12/23
-34
L
L
U
12/29
-15
L
L
U
01/05
-8
L
W
O
09/07
-7
L
L
U
09/14
-5
L
L
O
09/21
-31
L
L
O
09/28
-12
L
W
O