NEPatriots
12-5
24
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
50°F
16 mph
17
PITSteelers
14-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
50°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
1
7
1
3
12
Steelers
0
3
14
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
306
Total Plays
68
67
Yards / Play
3.8
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.29
Passing Yards
192
248
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.02
Rushing Yards
67
58
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
2.7
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
35%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.42
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-25
-7
Sack EPA
-4.47
-2.30
Penalties
12
3
Penalty Yards
87
--
Penalty EPA
-8.66
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
1
Yards / Game
20
1
Passing Yards / Game
19
2
Rushing Yards / Game
17
1
EPA
EPA / Play
11
1
EPA / Pass
10
2
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
6
16
Fumbles / Game
10
17
Turnover EPA / Game
22
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
5
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
17
30
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
4
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
9
7
Fumbles / Game
4
11
Turnover EPA / Game
26
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
11
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
28
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U