NEPatriots
5-1
31
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
07
MINVikings
4-2
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
10
14
0
31
Vikings
0
0
1
0
1
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
430
284
Total Plays
61
61
Yards / Play
7.0
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.48
Passing Yards
345
239
Comp/Att
29/43(67%)
26/42(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.55
Rushing Yards
85
45
Rush Attempts
15
15
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
18
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.46
-17.61
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-27
-22
Sack EPA
-7.64
-4.42
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
85
39
Penalty EPA
-11.72
-5.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
13
Yards / Game
11
6
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
14
1
EPA
EPA / Play
4
4
EPA / Pass
6
11
EPA / Rush
11
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
11
Interceptions / Game
10
5
Fumbles / Game
25
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
23
RZ Efficiency
3
2
Vikings Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
23
10
Passing Yards / Game
14
30
Rushing Yards / Game
17
5
EPA
EPA / Play
30
6
EPA / Pass
29
5
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
24
Interceptions / Game
26
4
Fumbles / Game
23
12
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
3
2
RZ Efficiency
21
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U