OAKRaiders
3-3
12
TBD
Soldier Field
52°F
8 mph
30
CHIBears
1-5
TBD
Soldier Field
52°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
3
0
9
12
Bears
7
7
7
3
24
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
235
323
Total Plays
61
69
Yards / Play
3.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.11
Passing Yards
196
150
Comp/Att
27/46(59%)
21/29(72%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.19
Rushing Yards
39
173
Rush Attempts
14
38
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.29
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
23
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
1
13
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
22%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-14.81
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-12
Sack EPA
-1.43
-0.73
Penalties
2
9
Penalty Yards
--
110
Penalty EPA
--
-13.30
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-74
Home nfelo
1,374
Away nfelo
1,493
Home Field
+58.6
Base HFA
+43.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.4
Net QB Adjustment
-13.5
Home QB Adjustment
-82.2
Away QB Adjustment
-68.7
Market Regression
-18.3
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
B. Hoyer
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-68.7
T. Bagent
Proj. Value
-2.8
Team Elo Adj
-82.2
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
19
Yards / Game
27
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
30
1
EPA
EPA / Play
24
8
EPA / Pass
22
18
EPA / Rush
26
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
7
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
10
26
Turnover EPA / Game
13
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
29
4th Down Efficiency
6
4
RZ Efficiency
24
31
Bears Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
27
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20
EPA
EPA / Play
23
5
EPA / Pass
25
9
EPA / Rush
3
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
20
Interceptions / Game
22
17
Fumbles / Game
16
21
Turnover EPA / Game
10
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
25
4th Down Efficiency
16
23
RZ Efficiency
14
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Bears
1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
6-4
O/U