nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ eagles week 15, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

OAK logo
OAKRaiders
2-11
0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
30°F
20 mph
31
PHIEagles
8-5
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
30°F
20 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
0
0
0
Eagles
7
10
7
7
31

Spread

PHI logo
-12.5

Total

UNDER
37

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
75
387
Total Plays
42
66
Yards / Play
1.8
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.37
+0.30
Passing Yards
29
204
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
15/18(83%)
Yards / Pass
1.2
11.3
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.91
Rushing Yards
46
183
Rush Attempts
13
47
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
7
27
Passing 1st downs
4
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
77%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
NaN%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.27
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-35
-4
Sack EPA
-3.69
-1.69
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
35
Penalty EPA
--
-4.48

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-12.5

Win Probability

Market84.1%
Model84.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+316
Home nfelo
1,608
Away nfelo
1,357
Home Field
+68.3
Base HFA
+44.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+23.9
Net QB Adjustment
-3.9
Home QB Adjustment
-7.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
289.4
Model Spread
-12.5

Quarterbacks

K. Pickett headshot

K. Pickett

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
Value
Ptile
10/01
-7.1
10
10/08
-2.8
30
10/22
0.1
50
10/29
-5.2
18
11/02
-0.2
47
11/12
-2.9
29
11/19
-5.3
18
11/26
1.1
56
12/03
-4.7
21
12/29
1.2
58
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-7.4
Value
Ptile
09/28
0.5
55
10/05
-1.6
38
10/09
1.1
59
10/19
4.8
82
10/26
1.9
64
11/10
1.1
58
11/16
-1.5
39
11/23
8.1
94
11/28
2.4
67
12/08
-9.0
3

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Raiders logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
32
3
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
16
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21

EPA

EPA / Play
31
7
EPA / Pass
28
2
EPA / Rush
32
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
21
Interceptions / Game
30
15
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
17
4th Down Efficiency
29
4
RZ Efficiency
25
8
Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Eagles logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
24
16
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18

EPA

EPA / Play
19
22
EPA / Pass
13
26
EPA / Rush
19
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
1
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
15
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
1
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/28
-1
L
L
O
10/05
-34
L
L
U
10/12
10
W
W
U
10/19
-31
L
L
U
11/02
-1
L
W
O
11/06
-3
L
W
U
11/17
-17
L
L
O
11/23
-14
L
L
U
11/30
-17
L
L
O
12/07
-7
L
W
O
PHI logo

Eagles

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/28
6
W
W
O
10/05
-4
L
L
U
10/09
-17
L
L
O
10/19
6
W
W
O
10/26
18
W
W
O
11/10
3
W
W
U
11/16
7
W
W
U
11/23
-3
L
L
U
11/28
-9
L
L
U
12/08
-3
L
L
U