OAKRaiders
-
14
TBD
MetLife Stadium
76°F
12 mph
19
NYJJets
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
76°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
0
0
7
14
Jets
3
7
3
6
19
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
158
402
Total Plays
49
66
Yards / Play
3.2
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.06
Passing Yards
133
190
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
23/30(77%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.08
Rushing Yards
25
212
Rush Attempts
15
34
Yards / Rush
1.7
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.37
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
20
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
25%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.86
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-18
-31
Sack EPA
-4.29
-5.71
Penalties
4
11
Penalty Yards
20
105
Penalty EPA
-2.29
-12.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+192
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,401
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+2.8
Home QB Adjustment
-4.2
Away QB Adjustment
-7.0
Market Regression
+3.5
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.0
No recent game data available
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-4.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
32
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
30
Rushing Yards / Game
32
5
EPA
EPA / Play
32
26
EPA / Pass
31
24
EPA / Rush
32
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
8
Interceptions / Game
19
30
Fumbles / Game
28
21
Turnover EPA / Game
3
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
1
RZ Efficiency
1
27
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
32
Yards / Game
22
20
Passing Yards / Game
23
10
Rushing Yards / Game
3
22
EPA
EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
29
27
EPA / Rush
10
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
26
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
10
30
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
13
RZ Efficiency
32
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Jets
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U