OAKRaiders
6-4
3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
43°F
12 mph
34
NYJJets
3-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
43°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
0
0
0
3
Jets
3
10
15
0
28
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
208
401
Total Plays
57
60
Yards / Play
3.6
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.47
+0.11
Passing Yards
140
313
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
10.8
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.53
Rushing Yards
68
88
Rush Attempts
22
30
Yards / Rush
3.1
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
21
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
33%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.27
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-2
Sack EPA
-1.39
-0.88
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-5.79
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model57.3%
Spread Pick
Jets+3.5
Expected Value
+11.0%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-6
Home nfelo
1,345
Away nfelo
1,455
Home Field
+92.8
Base HFA
+49.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+17.2
Time Adj
+26.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.0
Home QB Adjustment
+26.2
Away QB Adjustment
+15.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-50.8
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.2
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
+26.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
16
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
13
2
EPA
EPA / Play
14
9
EPA / Pass
6
19
EPA / Rush
21
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
4
Interceptions / Game
7
18
Fumbles / Game
18
20
Turnover EPA / Game
15
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
15
4th Down Efficiency
7
2
RZ Efficiency
22
13
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
32
19
Passing Yards / Game
19
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
31
EPA / Pass
31
31
EPA / Rush
31
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
23
29
Fumbles / Game
18
30
Turnover EPA / Game
16
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
26
4th Down Efficiency
27
32
RZ Efficiency
21
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U