OAKRaiders
4-8
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
33°F
6 mph
37
NYJJets
5-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
33°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
3
14
10
27
Jets
10
4
10
7
31
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
383
352
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
5.9
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.24
Passing Yards
233
209
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
16/25(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
8.4
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.20
Rushing Yards
150
143
Rush Attempts
26
32
Yards / Rush
5.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.02
-3.74
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-32
-10
Sack EPA
-3.25
-1.26
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
31
36
Penalty EPA
-3.99
-5.22
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Jets-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+157
Home nfelo
1,405
Away nfelo
1,411
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+45.3
Home QB Adjustment
-29.9
Away QB Adjustment
-75.2
Market Regression
+8.2
Final Difference
113.5
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
M. McGloin
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-75.2
Value
Ptile
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-29.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
19
Yards / Game
23
11
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
11
2
EPA
EPA / Play
24
16
EPA / Pass
24
25
EPA / Rush
16
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
6
Interceptions / Game
24
22
Fumbles / Game
27
32
Turnover EPA / Game
9
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
13
4th Down Efficiency
10
10
RZ Efficiency
5
4
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
29
Yards / Game
25
21
Passing Yards / Game
32
30
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
30
32
EPA / Rush
18
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
11
Interceptions / Game
28
31
Fumbles / Game
5
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
28
4th Down Efficiency
32
6
RZ Efficiency
26
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Jets
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U