OAKRaiders
2-4
15
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
1-4
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
6
3
6
15
Rams
0
8
6
0
14
Spread
+7
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
259
Total Plays
75
52
Yards / Play
4.2
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.44
Passing Yards
195
144
Comp/Att
21/44(48%)
14/23(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.55
-0.32
Rushing Yards
122
115
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
15
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
20%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.89
-7.57
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-10
Sack EPA
-9.60
-1.61
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
80
28
Penalty EPA
-7.44
-4.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model70.4%
Spread Pick
Raiders+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+116
Home nfelo
1,481
Away nfelo
1,435
Home Field
+73.8
Base HFA
+45.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+12.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.8
Home QB Adjustment
-11.6
Away QB Adjustment
-7.7
Market Regression
+19.2
Final Difference
150.2
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
A. O'Connell
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-7.7
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-11.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
15
Yards / Game
27
24
Passing Yards / Game
9
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
28
EPA
EPA / Play
31
20
EPA / Pass
24
13
EPA / Rush
32
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
23
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
29
25
Turnover EPA / Game
3
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
6
RZ Efficiency
26
4
Rams Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
31
27
Rushing Yards / Game
23
12
EPA
EPA / Play
14
12
EPA / Pass
12
26
EPA / Rush
27
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
7
22
Fumbles / Game
11
31
Turnover EPA / Game
28
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
17
4th Down Efficiency
7
31
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U