OAKRaiders
3-5
20
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
61°F
6 mph
55
BALRavens
6-2
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
61°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
10
7
3
20
Ravens
10
17
21
7
55
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
422
419
Total Plays
73
62
Yards / Play
5.8
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.56
Passing Yards
350
--
Comp/Att
29/46(63%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.49
Rushing Yards
72
78
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
44%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.19
+3.02
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-5.53
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
105
41
Penalty EPA
-11.67
-3.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model76.5%
Spread Pick
Ravens-7.5
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+238
Home nfelo
1,561
Away nfelo
1,426
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-14.9
Home QB Adjustment
-3.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.4
Market Regression
+2.5
Final Difference
205.5
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+11.4
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
25
Rushing Yards / Game
29
22
EPA
EPA / Play
23
16
EPA / Pass
19
14
EPA / Rush
31
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
19
Interceptions / Game
18
13
Fumbles / Game
16
11
Turnover EPA / Game
15
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
31
13
RZ Efficiency
28
1
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
11
17
Passing Yards / Game
17
6
Rushing Yards / Game
11
17
EPA
EPA / Play
10
32
EPA / Pass
13
30
EPA / Rush
17
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
26
24
RZ Efficiency
6
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Ravens
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U