OAKRaiders
5-4
3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
57°F
9 mph
35
PITSteelers
6-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
57°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
0
0
0
3
Steelers
0
21
0
14
35
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
182
431
Total Plays
65
64
Yards / Play
2.8
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.32
+0.17
Passing Yards
121
269
Comp/Att
20/43(47%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
9.3
EPA / Pass
-0.59
+0.46
Rushing Yards
61
162
Rush Attempts
16
33
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
5
--
3rd Down %
21%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
NaN%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.47
-4.34
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-47
-6
Sack EPA
-6.67
-2.71
Penalties
7
14
Penalty Yards
55
163
Penalty EPA
-3.70
-16.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model77.2%
Spread Pick
Steelers-7.0
Expected Value
+9.7%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+249
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,415
Home Field
+47.4
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+44.3
Home QB Adjustment
+51.8
Away QB Adjustment
+7.6
Market Regression
-12.9
Final Difference
212.1
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.6
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+51.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
2
Yards / Game
10
2
Passing Yards / Game
18
17
Rushing Yards / Game
2
1
EPA
EPA / Play
11
2
EPA / Pass
22
4
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
16
10
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
26
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
25
RZ Efficiency
18
4
Steelers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
20
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
10
9
Rushing Yards / Game
11
29
EPA
EPA / Play
13
19
EPA / Pass
9
11
EPA / Rush
10
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
6
26
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
20
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
27
2
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U