OAKRaiders
-
13
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
9 mph
38
TENTitans
-
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
3
0
7
13
Titans
10
14
7
7
38
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
345
Total Plays
67
58
Yards / Play
4.3
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.20
Passing Yards
151
140
Comp/Att
23/38(61%)
13/17(76%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.15
Rushing Yards
135
205
Rush Attempts
25
39
Yards / Rush
5.4
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
21%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-11.11
-4.83
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-30
-14
Sack EPA
-4.99
-6.18
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
77
81
Penalty EPA
-8.97
-9.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model74.7%
Spread Pick
Titans-6.5
Expected Value
+12.3%
Cover Probability
58.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+224
Home nfelo
1,493
Away nfelo
1,339
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-16.0
Home QB Adjustment
+1.7
Away QB Adjustment
+17.7
Market Regression
-3.1
Final Difference
188.0
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.7
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+1.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
15
Yards / Game
10
26
Passing Yards / Game
18
32
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
21
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
5
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
16
11
Fumbles / Game
22
31
Turnover EPA / Game
26
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
18
3
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
20
Yards / Game
28
11
Passing Yards / Game
29
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
29
EPA
EPA / Play
14
19
EPA / Pass
16
11
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
6
Interceptions / Game
13
26
Fumbles / Game
28
22
Turnover EPA / Game
17
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
2
RZ Efficiency
10
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U