OAKRaiders
0-2
22
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
024
TENTitans
0-2
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
7
3
9
22
Titans
7
17
0
0
24
Spread
+2
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
396
361
Total Plays
66
55
Yards / Play
6.0
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.12
Passing Yards
300
252
Comp/Att
27/46(59%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
9.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.45
Rushing Yards
96
109
Rush Attempts
19
27
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
8%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.32
-3.48
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-12
Sack EPA
-0.51
-1.15
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
--
85
Penalty EPA
--
-10.62
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model49.3%
Spread Pick
Titans+2.0
Expected Value
+0.1%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+35
Home nfelo
1,479
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+51.4
Base HFA
+37.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+13.6
Net QB Adjustment
-2.5
Home QB Adjustment
-11.1
Away QB Adjustment
-8.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
5.1
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.6
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
32
Rushing Yards / Game
17
1
EPA
EPA / Play
13
16
EPA / Pass
14
28
EPA / Rush
13
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
1
14
Turnover EPA / Game
8
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
30
27
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
13
19
EPA
EPA / Play
25
25
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
26
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
25
Interceptions / Game
9
31
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
13
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
25
4th Down Efficiency
14
20
RZ Efficiency
6
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Titans
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U