OAKRaiders
5-4
27
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
021
MINVikings
2-7
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
21
3
0
27
Vikings
7
0
0
14
21
Spread
+2
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
311
Total Plays
68
62
Yards / Play
4.4
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.25
Passing Yards
139
187
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
19/33(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.23
-0.44
Rushing Yards
162
124
Rush Attempts
41
24
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
7
3rd Down %
36%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.64
-21.52
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-25
-24
Sack EPA
-6.79
-3.68
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
117
50
Penalty EPA
-13.94
-3.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+29
Home nfelo
1,456
Away nfelo
1,509
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-24.6
Home QB Adjustment
+2.1
Away QB Adjustment
+26.8
Market Regression
+14.0
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+26.8
C. Ponder
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
9
20
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
10
EPA
EPA / Play
10
28
EPA / Pass
13
31
EPA / Rush
8
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
27
31
Fumbles / Game
6
4
Turnover EPA / Game
11
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
29
4th Down Efficiency
8
26
RZ Efficiency
23
16
Vikings Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
18
29
Passing Yards / Game
17
16
Rushing Yards / Game
4
27
EPA
EPA / Play
20
30
EPA / Pass
29
25
EPA / Rush
2
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
30
Interceptions / Game
21
10
Fumbles / Game
24
26
Turnover EPA / Game
15
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
25
4th Down Efficiency
17
5
RZ Efficiency
8
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Vikings
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U