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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ 49ers week 1, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAR logo
LARRams
-
25
TBD
Candlestick Park
65°F
17 mph
28
SF49ers
-
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
65°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
6
3
13
25
49ers
0
15
7
0
22

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
405
217
Total Plays
90
41
Yards / Play
4.5
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.06
Passing Yards
316
183
Comp/Att
34/56(61%)
13/18(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
10.2
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.34
Rushing Yards
89
34
Rush Attempts
27
21
Yards / Rush
3.3
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
26
12
Passing 1st downs
19
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
20
7
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Rams logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-2.74
-8.50
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-46
-9
Sack EPA
-10.76
-5.50
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
48
30
Penalty EPA
-5.75
-2.37

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs 49ers Defense
Rams logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
11
30
Yards / Game
9
32
Passing Yards / Game
2
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
18

EPA

EPA / Play
18
24
EPA / Pass
13
32
EPA / Rush
30
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
5
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
18
29
Turnover EPA / Game
6
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
22
RZ Efficiency
20
16
49ers Offense vs Rams Defense
49ers logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
30
31
Yards / Game
32
30
Passing Yards / Game
31
25
Rushing Yards / Game
17
28

EPA

EPA / Play
32
22
EPA / Pass
32
23
EPA / Rush
19
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
6
Interceptions / Game
27
24
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
23
4th Down Efficiency
6
1
RZ Efficiency
29
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/14
11
W
W
P
11/21
-20
L
L
P
11/29
-28
L
L
P
12/05
10
W
L
P
12/12
-13
L
L
P
12/19
-24
L
L
P
12/27
13
W
W
P
01/02
3
W
W
P
01/08
7
W
W
P
01/15
-30
L
L
P
SF logo

49ers

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/31
-10
L
L
P
11/07
-15
L
L
P
11/14
-10
L
L
P
11/21
-32
L
L
P
11/28
-7
L
L
P
12/05
-10
L
W
P
12/12
3
W
W
P
12/18
-10
L
L
P
12/26
-34
L
L
P
01/02
-14
L
L
P